The AtlasIntel poll released ahead of the California Democratic Primary had Bernie Sanders at 34% and Joe Biden at 26%. Bernie Sanders won the race with 36%, followed by Joe Biden with 28%. AtlasIntel achieved the most accurate prediction on various dimensions:
- Lowest RMSE, with all candidates scoring within the poll margin of error
- Only pollster to correctly indicate the 8-point victory margin in the race.
- Only pollster correctly predicting that both Michael Bloomberg and Elizabeth Warren may fail to pass the 15% threshold required for delegates.
Ranking of best-performing polls in the 2020 California Democratic Primary
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