AtlasIntel was the most accurate pollster of the California Democratic Primary

The AtlasIntel poll released ahead of the California Democratic Primary had Bernie Sanders at 34% and Joe Biden at 26%. Bernie Sanders won the race with 36%, followed by Joe Biden with 28%. AtlasIntel achieved the most accurate prediction on various dimensions:

  • Lowest RMSE, with all candidates scoring within the poll margin of error
  • Only pollster to correctly indicate the 8-point victory margin in the race.
  • Only pollster correctly predicting that both Michael Bloomberg and Elizabeth Warren may fail to pass the 15% threshold required for delegates.

Ranking of best-performing polls in the 2020 California Democratic Primary

Atlas Us 040220 Table

Tracking Pro

Proprietary high-frequency polling that enables you to be the first to know when public opinion shifts and the likelihood of political outcomes changes.

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Atlas Monitor

Atlas Monitor is a customizable social media intelligence tool that provides granular monitoring of businesses, organizations, topics, political campaigns, etc.

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Public Polls

Nationally representative polls conducted by AtlasIntel using its proprietary data collection technology and post-stratification algorithms.

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Atlas Político

Atlas Político is a political transparency platform that empowers citizens to keep their politicians accountable.

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